The Market Breakdown

The Market Breakdown

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The Market Breakdown
The Market Breakdown
WEEKEND TRADE SHEET for 5/17/2025
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WEEKEND TRADE SHEET for 5/17/2025

Actionable stock & crypto swing-trades—fresh every Saturday, zero noise.

Christopher Inks's avatar
Christopher Inks
May 17, 2025
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The Market Breakdown
The Market Breakdown
WEEKEND TRADE SHEET for 5/17/2025
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WEEKEND TRADE SHEET

Paid subscribers only · Issue #2 — Saturday, May 17 2025


Macro snapshot

  • PPI for April –0.5 % m/m (May 15 release) undershot every estimate, keeping the dis-inflation narrative alive.

  • The US-Dollar Index (DXY ≈ 101.1) firmed after a strong import-price print, but still sits near 2-month lows.

  • Ten-year yield 4.43% closed the week up 5 bp as traders faded the Moody’s U.S. outlook cut.

  • Next volatility node: Wednesday May 28 – double-header of FOMC minutes (2 p.m. ET) and Nvidia earnings (after-close).


Risk Gauge (today vs. last week)

  • VIX: 17.2 (-0.6)

  • DXY: 101.1 (+0.8)

  • US 10-yr: 4.43% (+5bp)

  • BTC perp funding (Binance): Flat

Rotation note: money flowed out of mega-cap semis and into cybersecurity & fintech, while crypto attention pivoted to Layer-1 “infrastructure” names (TON, AVAX) and Real-World-Asset tokens (ONDO).


Fresh Trade Set-ups

(Aim: ≥ 20 % move in 14-30 days; longs ▲, shorts ▼)

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