WEEKEND TRADE SHEET for 1/10/2026
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WEEKEND TRADE SHEET
Paid subscribers only · Issue #34 — Saturday, January 10, 2026
ORCL stopped in profit at 187.90. AVAX/USDT stopped in profit at 13.75
The year just found its footing.
This week delivered the first clean momentum expansion of 2026. Equities pushed decisively higher, volatility collapsed, metals surged again, and crypto stayed constructive without overheating. There was no hesitation from buyers and no real pushback from sellers. Liquidity returned, and with it, intent.
This was a confirmation week, not just a probe.
The question now is whether momentum can persist without volatility.
Let’s break it down.
Macro snapshot
Equities broke higher with authority.
SPY (694.07), NDX (25,766.26), QQQ (626.65), and RUT (2,624.22) all extended gains, clearing prior resistance zones and doing so with broad participation. This wasn’t a single-sector move. Leadership remained concentrated in growth and tech, but small caps kept pace, signaling that risk appetite is widening rather than narrowing.
Importantly, pullbacks were shallow and immediately bid. That’s trend behavior.
Crypto stayed constructive, but restrained.
BTCUSD (90,523.41) hovered near the low-90k zone, holding structure without accelerating. ETHUSD (3,091.06) followed suit. Alts improved modestly: SOL (136.29), DOT (2.095), ATOM (2.580), and ARB (0.2079) all advanced without excess.
BTC.D (59.11) remained stable, suggesting balanced participation rather than speculative rotation.
Crypto looks healthy, not euphoric.
Metals exploded higher again.
Gold (4,509.015) surged to fresh highs, while silver (79.9040) followed with another powerful advance. These are not defensive flinches, rather they are sustained trend moves. The metals complex is now the strongest signal across markets.
Energy firmed modestly.
WTI (58.799) moved higher but remains range-bound. There’s no stress here, but also no breakout signal yet.
Rates stayed contained.
The 10-year (4.169) and 30-year TYX (4.82) drifted slightly lower, removing a key headwind for equities. This stabilization is a major reason risk assets were able to extend.
Dollar softened again.
DXY (99.137) eased lower, helping support equities, metals, and crypto simultaneously.
Total crypto market cap held steady.
TOTAL3 (877.46B) reinforced the steady-grind narrative across altcoins.
Takeaway:
This was a broad risk-on confirmation week. Equities broke higher, metals accelerated, rates behaved, and volatility collapsed. The market is aligned — for now.
Catalysts in view
Momentum vs. Volatility Tension
With VIX crushed and markets trending, the main risk is not bad news, but complacency. Sustained upside requires volatility to stay suppressed without completely disappearing.
January Flow Continuation
Early-January flows are still in motion. If this is real allocation rather than fast money, pullbacks should remain shallow next week.
Rates as the Gatekeeper
Yields stabilized this week. Any sudden push higher would be the fastest way to interrupt the rally. As long as rates stay calm, equities have room.
Metals Signal Persistence
Gold and silver strength is now impossible to ignore. Either this is a macro hedge that continues quietly, or it begins to pressure risk sentiment if it accelerates further.
Crypto Patience Test
Crypto has not chased equities higher aggressively. If BTC holds 90k while equities push, crypto may play catch-up later in January.
Why it matters:
When multiple asset classes trend together and volatility stays low, markets can overshoot quickly. The next week will test whether this move has depth or just speed.
Risk Gauge
VIX (14.49)
Volatility collapsed further. This supports trend continuation but increases fragility.DXY (99.137)
Dollar softness remains supportive. Any reversal would ripple across all risk assets.10-Yr UST (4.169)
Rates behaved this week. Continued stability keeps the rally intact.Gold (4,509.015)
The strongest trend on the board. Respect it.Equities (SPY 694 / NDX 25,766)
Clean breakout behavior. Momentum is firmly with the bulls.Crypto (BTC 90,523 / ETH 3,091)
Constructive and patient. No signs of stress or blow-off..
Technical Note: This is a trend environment, but it’s also a low-volatility environment. Those two conditions coexist until they don’t. Manage risk accordingly.
Fresh Trade Set-ups
(Aim: ≥ 20 % move in 14-30 days; longs ▲, shorts ▼)
