The Market Breakdown

The Market Breakdown

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The Market Breakdown
The Market Breakdown
Mid-Week Risk Check: Fresh Prices, Updated Stops

Mid-Week Risk Check: Fresh Prices, Updated Stops

Condensed pulse on volatility, yields, flows, and positioning—your mid-week reality check before quarter-end churn

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Christopher Inks
Jun 25, 2025
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The Market Breakdown
The Market Breakdown
Mid-Week Risk Check: Fresh Prices, Updated Stops
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MID-WEEK RISK CHECK · Wed 25 June 2025



Macro snapshot

  • The June 17-18 FOMC meeting minutes will be released on Wednesday, July 9 at 14:00 ET; today’s focus is quarter-end positioning.

  • The 10-yr yield slipped to 4.32% on safe-haven flows, while the dollar eased to DXY 97.9.

  • Vol cooled (VIX 17.36) as some hedges came off ahead of Friday’s OPEX.

  • Flows keep favoring networking gear, power-silicon, and cyber-security; on-chain money remains parked in AI-compute / liquid-staking names ahead of next week’s fork and unlock calendar.


Risk Gauge (vs. last Wednesday)

  • VIX 17.36 (-3.2)

  • DXY 97.9 (-1.5)

  • 10-yr 4.32% (-6 bp)

  • BTC funding +0.010% (+0.002)

Read-through: lower yields and fading vol, but stay tactical—quarter-end flows can still whipsaw thin books.


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