The Market Breakdown

The Market Breakdown

Mid-Week Risk Check: Fresh Prices, Updated Stops—NEAR Now Active at $2.44

Updated quotes and stops: NEAR fill confirmed at $2.44, CAKE short in play ahead of today’s unlock, and AVGO prints tomorrow. Make sure your bands are set before Friday’s jobs data.

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Christopher Inks
Jun 04, 2025
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MID-WEEK RISK CHECK · Wed 4 June 2025


Apologies. Running late with today’s Mid-Week Risk Check due to an Internet issue earlier (fiber line was cut).


Macro snapshot

  • Dollar: DXY keeps leaking lower (≈ 98.8 mid-day).

  • Vol: VIX fades to 17.7 after Monday’s bluff spike.

  • Rates: 10-yr note eases to 4.41% on soft ISM-services read.

  • Risk mood: desks are unwinding mega-cap-software longs and rotating into networking gear, cyber-sec, power-management. Crypto volumes favor AI-compute (RNDR), liquid-staking (LDO, PYTH) and BTC side-chains (ORDI) ahead of early-June releases.


Risk Gauge (vs. last Wednesday)

  • VIX: 17.7 ↓ (-1.1 pts)

  • DXY: 98.8 ↓ (-0.3)

  • US 10-yr: 4.41% ↓ (-0.17 pp)

  • BTC perp funding (Binance): +0.01% ≈ flat

Rotation note: net flows left mega-cap software for ANET / SMCI / CYBR / MU and their suppliers; on-chain, traders are adding to RNDR, PYTH, TIA ahead of their June milestones and fading CAKE into next week’s unlock.


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