Labor cracks: jobs stall, gold rockets, rate-cut bets soar — Market Breakdown #87
A weak August NFP jolts markets. Gold spikes and dollar swoons while equity froth fades.
📊 THE MARKET BREAKDOWN
Daily market intelligence for traders who think in systems, not headlines.
Issue #87 – September 5, 2025
🚀 Upgrade to the Weekend Hot Sheet — $79 / month
(First 100 annual subscribers lock in 50% off for life)
Here’s what you unlock:
• Subscriber-only posts & full archive
Get the entire playbook, not just the public crumbs.
• WEEKEND TRADE SHEET (Stocks + Crypto, Long & Short)
‣ 5-7 equity setups and 5-7 crypto setups every weekend
‣ Screened for ≥ 20% swing potential in the next 14-30 days
‣ Includes clear entry, target, and stop on every idea
• MID-WEEK RISK CHECK
‣ Rapid Wednesday update on every open idea — Triggered • Pending • Stopped • Trimmed
‣ Fresh macro bullets so you know the winds before they hit the sails
‣ One-glance risk gauge: VIX, DXY, 10-yr, BTC funding
Do the math: a single 20% winner on one tranche could more than cover a month’s fee — the rest is upside.
👉 Claim your spot before the first 100 fill up →
🔥 Headlines & Hysteria (powered by Forked Feed)
US job growth nearly stalls, only 22,000 added in August — Reuters
Forked Feed: “Jobs hit the snooze button in record low mode.”Stock indexes slide as mixed jobs data clouds rate-cut outlook — AP News
Forked Feed: “Equities went ‘meh’ after NFP said ‘also meh.’”Gold surges to new highs as weak jobs data revives Fed rate-cut bets — Reuters
Forked Feed: “Gold: ‘Need a cut? I’ll handle it.’”Dollar tumbles on NFP miss—Fed easing now expected — Reuters
Forked Feed: “DXY took one look at jobs data and fell asleep.”Bitcoin nears $113K as rate-cut expectations lift crypto — Miltrade
Forked Feed: “BTC got a jobless boost going to the moon RSVP.”
🔎 Today’s Focus — What Moved the Tape
Funding / Dollar / Rates: Treasury yields slumped, dollar dropped; markets fully pricing in an imminent Fed rate cut.
Equities: Early weakness after soft NFP. S&P and Nasdaq edged into weekly gains despite Friday’s fade.
Metals/Energy: Gold soared to fresh highs; oil and energy sectors lagged amid recession fears.
Crypto: Bitcoin rallied near $113K, Ethereum followed quietly; macro sentiment ruled over industry news.
🧭 Top Charts of the Week
SPY: $647.24
QQQ: $576.06
🧭 Risk-On Flows
Equities: S&P -0.3%, Dow -0.5%, Nasdaq -0.1% (weekly gains: S&P +0.3%, Nasdaq +1.1%)
Commodities: Gold +1-1.4% to new record (~$3,590-3,613)
Dollar & Bonds: DXY -0.7% to ~97.54; US10Y ~4.07%
Crypto: BTC near $113K, sizable upside post-NFP; ETH flat; alt sentiment cautious.
Forked Feed Early Warning: “Gold rallying because the job market hit emergency brakes. Don’t let the FOMO drive your risk.”
₿ Bitcoin & Crypto
BTC/USD: $110850
ETH/USD: $4314
🧭 Sovereignty Signal
Soft yields + plunging dollar = green light for beta… cautiously.
Gold’s rally is insurance, not confirmation. Let market structure guide exposure.
Tactile read:
SPY > 6,490 (or local close) + 10Y ≤ 4.10% → lean into QQQ.
DXY > 99 or VIX > 17 → trim exposure, tighten stops.
BTC > 113k w/ lower BTC.D → easing into quality alts. Below 110k? Stay in range.
🏅 Commodities / Gold / Silver / Oil
Gold: $3586
Silver: $40.967
WTI: $62.384
🧮 Rates / Bonds / Dollar
10Y Yield: 4.076%
30Y: Yield: 4.77%
DXY: 97.737
🔄 Altcoin Market Overview
🔢 Key Metrics
• BTC Dominance 58.60%
• TOTAL3 ≈ $1.04T
• Altseason Index 51/100 (Bullish Bitcoin)
🧠 Sentiment Snapshot
Fear-&-Greed (crypto): 48 (Neutral)
CoinCodex Sentiment: 89 (Bullish)
📉 Sector Breakdown
AI: AGIX $0.5938 | FET $0.611
Layer-1: SOL $203.63 | DOT $3.854 | ATOM $4.442
Layer-2: ARB $0.4963 | OP $0.7173
Memes: DOGE $0.21721 | WIF $0.819 | PEPE 0.00000972
RWA: ONDO $0.9110 | NXRA $0.00774
🧠 Concept Spotlight:
Revisions Hold Weight
June & July payrolls were revised lower. This isn’t just soft August, it's a trend. Don’t anchor on headline prints, anchor on revisions. That’s your real macro read.
📖 Available Now!
Have you grabbed your copy of Forked Nations yet?
7 Stories. 7 Broken Nations. One Signal That Never Dies.
A Bitcoin fiction anthology for the post-sovereign age, brought to you by the same corrupted minds behind The Forked Feed.
👉 Get your ebook, paperback, and hard cover copy, or read it with your Kindle Unlimited account, at Amazon today!
📌 Key Takeaways
Labor market: Growth near stall, unemployment at 4.3%, the highest since 2021; recession risk rising.
Markets: Stocks pull back; gold spikes; dollar drops; yields slide.
Policy odds: Nearly certain 25 bp rate cut priced in for Sept 17.
📅 Watchlist & Triggers
SPY (~647): Bullish > 651; cautious < 645
QQQ (~576): Momentum > 580; defensive < 573
BTC (~113k): Impulse > 115k; range < 110k
ETH (~4.3k): Alts-on > 4,420; stall < 4,250
Gold (~3.6k): Hedge > 3,630; trim < 3,550
WTI (~62): Bounce > 65; fade < 62
DXY (~97.5): Loosens < 97; tightens > 99
US10Y (~4.07%): Relief < 4.0%; pressure > 4.20%
VIX (~15): Hedge reload > 17; longs safe < 14
💬 Final Thought
This wasn’t just a weak August, it was a trend shift. With jobs cracked and gold screaming higher, markets are betting on Fed rescue. Ride the beta if yields and DXY stay tame, but don’t chase euphoria. First retest after the shock will be your cleanest edge.
🔗 Stay Connected
Twitter: @txwestcapital
Twitter: @theforkedfeed
YouTube: TexasWestCapital
Website: TheForkedFeed.com (coming soon)